The key takeaways from the last 24 hours

Commonwealth Bank flies ever closer to the sun

With investors on the sidelines, waiting to see whether the fragile cease-fire between Israel and Iran will hold, there was not much in the way of index movement in the Wednesday session on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), with the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) closing up 3.7 points at 8,559.20, and the broader All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) accruing 5.1 points to 8,779. The ‘story’ for the day was Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) hitting yet another record high, gaining $3.27, or 1.7 per cent, to $191.40. The stock is now up almost 25 per cent in 2025 so far, and trades at more than 30 times expected FY26 earnings, making it arguably the most expensively rated bank in the world. The big four Australian banks normally trade on about 12–13 times earnings. Of its peers, Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited (ASX: ANZ) lifted 50 cents, or 1.8 per cent, to $29.10; National Australia Bank Limited (ASX: NAB) picked up 30 cents, or 0.8 per cent, to $40.05; and Westpac Banking Corporation (ASX: WBC) added 25 cents, or 0.7 per cent, to $34.54.

Newly refloated airline Virgin Australia Holdings Limited (ASX: VGN) followed its strong debut yesterday—when it rose 11.4 per cent above the $2.90 issue price—with a gain of 11 cents, or 3.4 per cent, to $3.34. Equipment-financier and consumer buy-now-pay-later company Humm Group Limited (ASX: HUM) spiked 5.5 cents, or 11.5 per cent, higher to 54 cents after the company confirmed a takeover offer from the family office of its chairman, Andrew Abercrombie. Counter-drone-technology company DroneShield Limited (ASX: DRO) surged 35.5 cents, or 19.9 per cent, to $2.15 after being awarded its biggest-ever defence order — a package of three contracts worth $61.6 million, with the end-buyer being a European military customer. The contracts are for handheld detection and counter-drone systems and associated accessories. The order’s value is larger than the entire $57.5 million revenue DroneShield Limited (ASX: DRO) generated in 2024.

In economic news, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported a fall in annual trimmed-mean inflation in May to 2.4 per cent—its lowest level since November 2021—which led some bank economists to forecast a rate cut next month.

Resources screens mostly red

Among the big miners, BHP Group Limited (ASX: BHP) eased 37 cents, or 1 per cent, to $36.11; Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) slipped 64 cents, or 0.6 per cent, to $104.30; and Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) gave up 35 cents, or 2.3 per cent, to $14.88. In energy, Woodside Energy Group Limited (ASX: WDS) surrendered 16 cents, or 0.7 per cent, to $24.00 despite sealing a US$5.7 billion deal over its Louisiana LNG project, while Santos Limited (ASX: STO) lost 9 cents, or 1.2 per cent, to $7.57.

In coal, Whitehaven Coal Limited (ASX: WHC) walked back 12 cents, or 2.2 per cent, to $5.45; New Hope Corporation Limited (ASX: NHC) shed 10 cents, or 2.6 per cent, to $3.75; and Stanmore Resources Limited (ASX: SMR) fell 9 cents, or 4.7 per cent, to $1.83. Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN), which mines lithium and iron ore, slipped $1.28, or 6 per cent, to $20.18; lithium producer Pilbara Minerals Limited (ASX: PLS) lost 4 cents, or 3.1 per cent, to $1.25; and diversified miner South32 Limited (ASX: S32) eased 8 cents, or 2.7 per cent, to $2.84.

In gold, Capricorn Metals Limited (ASX: CMM) fell 49 cents, or 4.7 per cent, to $9.90; Genesis Minerals Limited (ASX: GMD) softened 18 cents, or 4 per cent, to $4.34; Perseus Mining Limited (ASX: PRU) slid 12 cents, or 3.4 per cent, to $3.37; and Northern Star Resources Limited (ASX: NST) gave up 52 cents, or 2.6 per cent, to $19.28. Green arrows were rare on the resources screens, but Namibia-based uranium producer Paladin Energy Limited (ASX: PDN) firmed 26 cents, or 3.5 per cent, to $7.75; Capstone Copper Corp. (TSX: CS) gained 9 cents, or 1 per cent, to $8.95; Canadian-based uranium project developer NexGen Energy Ltd. (ASX: NXG) advanced 8 cents, or 0.8 per cent, to $10.42; and gold miner Gold Road Resources Limited (ASX: GOR) lifted 2 cents, or 0.6 per cent, to $3.33.

White House, Fed differ on rate cuts

In the US, tensions in the Middle East appeared to be calming, and investors are preparing for May’s personal-consumption-expenditures price-index reading, which will be released on Friday. The broad S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP: SPX) finished Wednesday’s session flat, minutely lower at 6,092.16, while the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX: DJI) slid 106.59 points, or 0.3 per cent, to 42,982.43; but the Nasdaq Composite Index (NASDAQ: IXIC) appreciated 61.02 points, or 0.3 per cent, to 19,973.55, edging closer to a new record. The Nasdaq was powered by chipmaker NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), which jumped 4.3 per cent, touching a record high and lifting its market capitalisation to US$3.75 trillion, making it the world’s most valuable company.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said this week that the central bank’s preferred inflation measure is likely to rise to 2.3 per cent, while the ‘core’ figure, which excludes food and energy, is expected to tick up to 2.6 per cent from 2.5 per cent in April. However, Powell stressed that the central bank is committed to keeping inflation under control in the face of “uncertain” effects of Trump’s tariffs on the economy: while the White House is demanding rate cuts, the Federal Reserve chair is determined to wait to see the impact on inflation—rate-cut decisions will be based on that.

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